Ondas Holdings Inc. ONDS
Company coverage
Research activity
ONDS 67 trade records · 16 option records · 2025-11-03 → 2026-05-08Moat
ModerateOndas has developed a defensible regulatory moat centered on first-mover advantages in autonomous systems. The company's Optimus System holds the world-first FAA Type Certification and extensive BVLOS waivers allowing flight over populated areas and…
Physical assets
ModerateManufacturing and assembly facilities in Dallas and Boston areas, with acquisitions like Rotron Aero (UK) adding production capacity. These assets provide operational foundation but lack the scarcity or irreplaceability that would make them strongly…
Software / hardware
Growth. World-first FAA Type Certified autonomous drone system scales into border protection, public safety, and DoD fleet replacement as NDAA compliance forces Chinese drone phase-out. Primary assets. FAA Type Certified Optimus drone system, FullMA…
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Ticker: ONDS (NASDAQ) Headquarters: Waltham, Massachusetts, USA Founded: 2018 (via acquisitions) Market Cap: ~$300M Current Price: ~$9-10 52-Week Range: $1.50 - $13.50 Ondas Holdings operates through two business units: Ondas Aut…
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Ondas Autonomous Systems (OAS) - Primary Growth Driver Airobotics - Optimus System: - World's first FAA Type Certified autonomous drone system - Fully automated 24/7 operations without human intervention - Robotic arm swaps batte…
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| Metric | Q3 2025 | YoY Change | |--------|---------|------------| | Revenue | $10.1M | +582% | | Backlog | $65.3M | +180% (from Nov) | | Net Loss | $(7.5M) | Improving | 2025 Full Year Guidance: - Revenue: $47.6-49.6M (raised 2…
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1. FAA Type Certification: Optimus is the only Type Certified autonomous drone system—a regulatory moat competitors can't easily cross. 2. NDAA Compliance: One of few viable options for U.S. government agencies replacing Chinese…
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Critical Infrastructure Protection - European international airports - Border security systems - Utilities and energy facilities Government/Defense - U.S. government agencies (NDAA-compliant) - Border protection (multi-year contr…
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| Date | Event | Impact | |------|-------|--------| | Dec 2025 | Roboteam acquisition closed | +$30M 2026 revenue | | Dec 2025 | Border protection tender won | Multi-year, thousands of drones | | Dec 2025 | $16.4M European airpor…
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1. Explosive Growth: Revenue growing 500%+ YoY with visibility to $170-180M in 2026. 2. Regulatory Moat: FAA Type Certification and BVLOS waivers create barriers competitors can't easily overcome. 3. Counter-UAS Tailwind: Market…
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1. Execution Risk (CRITICAL) - Revenue target jumped from $36M to $180M in months - Must integrate multiple acquisitions simultaneously - Scaling manufacturing is non-trivial 2. Profitability Distant - Still losing ~$7-8M/quarter…
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| Company | Focus | Advantage Over ONDS | |---------|-------|---------------------| | Anduril | Full-stack defense AI | Scale, Lattice C2 platform | | AeroVironment | Drones + loitering munitions | Switchblade dominance, BlueHalo…
| Date | Action | Type | Relative size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-08 | SELL | Equity | +35% |
| 2026-05-08 | SELL | Equity | +100% |
| 2026-05-08 | SELL | Equity | +1% |
| 2026-05-08 | SELL | Equity | +7% |
| 2026-05-08 | SELL | Equity | +7% |
| 2026-05-08 | SELL | Equity | +13% |
| 2026-05-07 | SELL | Equity | +6% |
| 2026-05-07 | SELL | Equity | +4% |
| 2026-05-07 | SELL | Equity | +4% |
| 2026-05-04 | SELL | CALL option | +0% |
| 2026-04-24 | BUY | Equity | +25% |
| 2026-04-06 | EXPIRED | CALL option | 0% |
| 2026-03-30 | BUY | Equity | +25% |
| 2026-03-19 | BUY | Equity | +13% |
| 2026-03-18 | SELL | CALL option | +0% |
| 2026-03-13 | BUY | Equity | +13% |
| 2026-03-11 | BUY | Equity | +4% |
| 2026-03-09 | BUY | Equity | +6% |
| 2026-03-09 | BUY | Equity | +6% |
| 2026-02-27 | BUY | Equity | +1% |
| 2026-02-18 | BUY | Equity | +3% |
| 2026-02-13 | BUY | Equity | +7% |
| 2026-02-05 | BUY | Equity | +6% |
| 2026-02-05 | BUY | Equity | +4% |
Notes
Full portfolio moat / asset analysis
Ondas has developed a defensible regulatory moat centered on first-mover advantages in autonomous systems. The company's Optimus System holds the world-first FAA Type Certification and extensive BVLOS waivers allowing flight over populated areas and moving vehicles — a capability most competitors lack. NDAA-compliance positioning makes Ondas a preferred cho…
Full portfolio moat / asset analysis
However, this moat faces long-term vulnerability as regulatory standards normalize and larger defense contractors develop competing capabilities. A landmark border protection contract validates near-term market opportunity.